While RNG does have a factor, data collected over time will ALWAYS figure out the approximate chance of something happening.
For you to have opened 56 packs and not gotten a couple Legendary and at several Epic is hard to believe. I'm not saying you're lying by any means, especially since drawing cards is still random. I'm just saying that's some REALLY bad luck.
If I could, I'd share some of mine. I drew Eadric the Pure from an Arena pack last week, then Cenarius from the "spectate a friend" quest, and THEN turned around and got The Mistcaller from an Arena pack earlier this week. Granted, two of them are pretty much junk, but still. Craziness.
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If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.
You're never guaranteed to draw a Legendary or Epic. There's just the 5% (for Legendary) and 20% (for Epic chance) probability that you SHOULD.
Generally, my draws stick pretty close to those numbers. Every once in a while I'll get a crazy good string of draws (like I mentioned above), but those are few and far between.
I've heard it said (though neither I nor the person[s] making the claim actually had proof) that Arena packs tend to have higher chances of Legendary cards, because they are random packs, where as P2P players choose which set they want and the spectator quest pack is always Classic. I have no idea if this is ACTUALLY the case, but it HAS been suggested.
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If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.
I've heard it said (though neither I nor the person[s] making the claim actually had proof) that Arena packs tend to have higher chances of Legendary cards, because they are random packs, where as P2P players choose which set they want and the spectator quest pack is always Classic. I have no idea if this is ACTUALLY the case, but it HAS been suggested.
A lot of things have been suggested... Are we going to believe anything that some random guys on the internet talk about? Seriously?
It's about 1/20 from what I've heard from streamers and peers. I think my rate is a little less than that but I might just be salty. Anything significantly less is just bad luck I'm afraid.
I've heard it said (though neither I nor the person[s] making the claim actually had proof) that Arena packs tend to have higher chances of Legendary cards, because they are random packs, where as P2P players choose which set they want and the spectator quest pack is always Classic. I have no idea if this is ACTUALLY the case, but it HAS been suggested.
A lot of things have been suggested... Are we going to believe anything that some random guys on the internet talk about? Seriously?
I didn't say I believed it, and I specifically said I have no proof.
I've pulled two Legendary from Arena packs (one last week, one this week). Is that justification that the statement IS true? No (and yet, maybe). It may very well be that I've just had good luck when pulling from Arena packs. It may also be that Arena rewards do, for whatever reason (maybe the extra 50 gold cost compared to buying a pack?), have increased odds of giving Legendary pulls.
Personally? I don't believe that Arena rewards have a higher chance of Legendary than any other pack. I think it's just been an insane streak of luck, and that I have an insanely BAD streak of luck headed my way before long.
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If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.
Can someone remind me? I thought it was 19. I haven't gotten a legendary all year and only 1 epic. Not a salt thread I'm just curious.
Probability to get a legendary from a pack is around 5%. So one in 20 packs. For epics it is 20% chance, means one epic in 5 packs.
How many packs did you open?
I'm at 56 packs so far all earned with gold. Kinda odd to go on this long
ranges from 100% to 0
hi
There is proof. Other players have collected tons of data.
It's 50%, you open one or you don't
While RNG does have a factor, data collected over time will ALWAYS figure out the approximate chance of something happening.
For you to have opened 56 packs and not gotten a couple Legendary and at several Epic is hard to believe. I'm not saying you're lying by any means, especially since drawing cards is still random. I'm just saying that's some REALLY bad luck.
If I could, I'd share some of mine. I drew Eadric the Pure from an Arena pack last week, then Cenarius from the "spectate a friend" quest, and THEN turned around and got The Mistcaller from an Arena pack earlier this week. Granted, two of them are pretty much junk, but still. Craziness.
If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.
I thought that it was 1/50 per pack, but don't quote me on it.
Thats not how it works mate
f2p, playing for fun ^^
I was months without opening any, then in 2 weeks i opened 5. With the gold from dayly quests.
f2p, playing for fun ^^
~5% chance not to get any legendary over 56 packs and ~0.005% chance of getting only one epic if I'm not mistaken.
You're never guaranteed to draw a Legendary or Epic. There's just the 5% (for Legendary) and 20% (for Epic chance) probability that you SHOULD.
Generally, my draws stick pretty close to those numbers. Every once in a while I'll get a crazy good string of draws (like I mentioned above), but those are few and far between.
I've heard it said (though neither I nor the person[s] making the claim actually had proof) that Arena packs tend to have higher chances of Legendary cards, because they are random packs, where as P2P players choose which set they want and the spectator quest pack is always Classic. I have no idea if this is ACTUALLY the case, but it HAS been suggested.
If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.
It's about 1/20 from what I've heard from streamers and peers. I think my rate is a little less than that but I might just be salty. Anything significantly less is just bad luck I'm afraid.
It is 5%
Been playing for 2 months and the only legendary I have are those from the adventure packs. I'm pretty sure I've opened more than 20 packs already.
If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.
I opened 6-7 legendaries over over 60 packs but recently have opened 1 in my last 20 or so. It just varies.
My own probability is around 1 in 40 packs
And I just opened Justicar and Mysterious challenger on pack 57.