Hearthpwn

Quote from Shakrazam »

Quote from wtk300 »

Let's make it simpler. One minion with one HP - target A. And your opponent with 8 HP - target - B. There are 9 outcomes

ABBBBBBB, BABBBBBB, BBABBBBB, BBBABBBB, BBBBABBB, BBBBBABB, BBBBBBAB, BBBBBBBA, BBBBBBBB

Do you think they are equally likely?

Are they not? Ofcourse they are.

 

They are not. Probability to hit minion with the first missile is 50%. With the last one is 0.5 ^ 8. Just imagine it, killing that Young Priestess with last shot of Avenging Wrath is far less likely than with the first one.

Quote from Shakrazam »

Quote from wtk300 »

Quote from Shakrazam »

Quote from wtk300 »

Quote from Shakrazam »

(...) To evaluate a probability you need to divide the number of desired outcomes by the number of all posible outcomes. (...)

You can't do that if different outcomes have different probability. In this case they do have different probability.

by outcome I dont mean certain minion dieing or not. By outcome I mean different combination of missle attacks. For example the first three missles to hit a minion and the next 5 missles to hit the hero has the same probability as the first 4 missles to hit the hero and the second for to hit the minion.

I know. Still, they don't. Probability to hit particular target changes based on what was hit by earlier missiles. If you hit minion with 4 HP 4 times probability to hit it with last missile is 0%. If you kill all minions chance to hit face is 100%.

If we call targets A, B and C. ABBCABBA and BBCAAAAA can have different probabilities depending on the HP of each target.

Yes ,but what was hit earlier is a part of the combination. The way I handle it is  that combination ABBBBBAAC cannot exist if minion B has 4 health so I dont count it (substract it from all possible combinations) and its not part of the equation. You take the probabilities of the individual missle hits occuring whereas you should take the probability of the whole sequence of missles occuring.

Let's make it simpler. One minion with one HP - target A. And your opponent with 8 HP - target - B. There are 9 outcomes

ABBBBBBB, BABBBBBB, BBABBBBB, BBBABBBB, BBBBABBB, BBBBBABB, BBBBBBAB, BBBBBBBA, BBBBBBBB

Do you think they are equally likely?

Quote from Shakrazam »

Quote from wtk300 »

Quote from Shakrazam »

(...) To evaluate a probability you need to divide the number of desired outcomes by the number of all posible outcomes. (...)

You can't do that if different outcomes have different probability. In this case they do have different probability.

by outcome I dont mean certain minion dieing or not. By outcome I mean different combination of missle attacks. For example the first three missles to hit a minion and the next 5 missles to hit the hero has the same probability as the first 4 missles to hit the hero and the second for to hit the minion.

I know. Still, they don't. Probability to hit particular target changes based on what was hit by earlier missiles. If you hit minion with 4 HP 4 times probability to hit it with last missile is 0%. If you kill all minions chance to hit face is 100%.

If we call targets A, B and C. ABBCABBA and BBCAAAAA can have different probabilities depending on the HP of each target.

Quote from Shakrazam »

(...) To evaluate a probability you need to divide the number of desired outcomes by the number of all posible outcomes. (...)

You can't do that if different outcomes have different probability. In this case they do have different probability.

Finally! Cards will work the way they were supposed to. That's a good news i guess.

Quote from UserNotFound »

How do you even get so much gold? :D

Did you buy thousends of Arena runs with real money and kept the won gold?

Did you ever spent any gold on packs?

Just curious :)

I've spent $0 on this game. All of my gold is from arenas/quests/constructed (mostly arenas) and i bought around 80 packs.

So there was official info... hmm, i guess it's just not implemented.

I've read on this site that there is a 20k total gold limit. I reached it yesterday and stopped playing. But today i was curious what a message about crossing it looks like so i played 3 more games. And... nothing. I have 20010 gold now. Is there any official info about this alleged limit? Should i be worried that I can lose any gold above 20k?

I play Crazed Alchemist in my priest. This allows for some cool tricks, like attacking into Cairne Bloodhoof switching his stats and then stealing.

If you enjoy playing arena - spend your gold on arena, if you don't like it - buy packs. It's that simple.

When you are making a deck and right click on a card in the decklist it changes current page to the one with the card.

Some match ups are just bad, and this is one of the worst ones. If you play a lot of them the best thing you can do is to change your deck to control warrior.

15k

Apparently it did solve the problem as there are no more hunters. ;-)

Do you think that you make mistakes during play?