They are not attempts to shut down the discussion, they are counter-arguments. That's how arguments work, you present a view, others present a competing view.
Git Gud etc... that's more an insult etc... But pointing out valid statistical modeling is not.
Having played HS since the first set, I feel nothing in terms of card draw being non-randomized. Sometimes I top deck the card I need, sometimes I get complete crapola. Play 100 games with one deck and count the card draws, then compare it to expected odds, see what you get. It will never match perfectly but if it is wildly off you may have something.
That said, I do think matchmaking is rigged to some degree. Blizzard is trying to smooth out the experience of winning and losing such that folks don't win too much or lose too much. The little spinner always lands on "worthy opponent" because that's more or less what the system is trying to ensure, you get someone that will offer you about the right amount of challenge for how well you are doing. Getting crushed, you get a little gimmie if they can find one for you. On a super hot streak? They will try to find you some hardcore challenge. Playing a crap deck (I often do) you may well get someone else dicking around. Play a total agro smasher deck and you won't get quite so many agro opponents because that would make things very lopsided. But you will get a few because sometimes it wants to stomp agro down a notch when it's running wild. That's my opinion, I can't back it up with facts.
But I've not had any experiences that felt like they were tinkering with the in-game randomness and I've seen a lot of variation in the results of RNG rolls in similar situations.
I don't think its as simple as looking at the overall average. After all, an average is what a theoretical algorithm would be trying to achieve. You would have to look at the average draws on a game-by-game basis over a period of 100 games. If an algorithm wanted to make things harder on you over time, you would see good draws mostly in the first portions of those 100 games, you would then see an overall decline in good draws as games progressed. If you were to envision a graph where the better the draws, the higher the plot (on a 1-10 scale), it would start high and taper off as it progressed. If it were not the case, you would see a neutral line over time with their draws. This would be difficult to track as there are also other variables. But the fact that SO MANY people claim that draws just seems to be rigged, and myself also experience so many games where I get the absolute perfect draw at just the right time, ensuring certain victory, only for the other guy to get an even better, even more, perfect draw and get lethal - it just seems too surreal to be a coincidence.
0
Auto-concede against priest stonks are going to skyrocket
3
This is groteque
6
In all honesty, though, this really does belong in a museum.
0
This will be the most crafted card in the history of Hearthstone.
0
DH already has so much going for it. It doesn't need this.
-1
And you get to have two of these. Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to the death of fun.
13
Was excited about this expansion til I saw this card. Jesus, wtf guys.
0
It's hideous.
0
I wouldn't. It's a good bet next couple expansions they come out with another crazy 10 mana cost card that compliments this,
0
I don't think its as simple as looking at the overall average. After all, an average is what a theoretical algorithm would be trying to achieve. You would have to look at the average draws on a game-by-game basis over a period of 100 games. If an algorithm wanted to make things harder on you over time, you would see good draws mostly in the first portions of those 100 games, you would then see an overall decline in good draws as games progressed. If you were to envision a graph where the better the draws, the higher the plot (on a 1-10 scale), it would start high and taper off as it progressed. If it were not the case, you would see a neutral line over time with their draws. This would be difficult to track as there are also other variables. But the fact that SO MANY people claim that draws just seems to be rigged, and myself also experience so many games where I get the absolute perfect draw at just the right time, ensuring certain victory, only for the other guy to get an even better, even more, perfect draw and get lethal - it just seems too surreal to be a coincidence.
3
This card is badass af
0
Wtf
1
No Pirate?
0
Thanks!
0
Only 25 cards