I was playing my Reno Renouncelock at Rank 10, and against a Handbuff Paladin with over 30 damage on board, I had a green Reno Jackson after using Renounce Darkness, not that it would save me even if it was yellow. Now, I was at 9 mana, topdecked Fireworks Tech, used it on my Weaponized Pinata, and got Cenarius, which, of course, I needed another mana to use, and again, it wouldn't save me. Then I traded in the Pinata and Cenarius comes out again. I know someone will say I had more of a chance of getting the same legendary twice than actually winning that match, because I know both are nearly zero, but can someone please give me some serious odds of this happening in Wild?
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
162 ladder wins with Renouncelock and counting! Reno, Zoo, Cube, Even; they all run Renounce Darkness in my lists!
Thank you! I knew there was a formula for that sort of thing, but I was coming up blank on it. If I counted the rows in the database right, it's 1 in 67,600. 25 rows of 4 on 2 pages, then 15 rows of 4 on the third, right? I'll recalculate if I'm wrong. (EDIT: I want to say that I only used the calculator to square 260.)
Weaponized Pinata can only add legendary minions to your hand, so we can't count hero cards, spells and weapons. I counted 260 collectible legendary minions in the game (https://www.hearthpwn.com/cards?display=3&filter-premium=1&filter-rarity=32&filter-type=4&page=3). That means the chances of getting exactly Cenarius twice are 1 in 260^2 (1 in 67600, roughly 0.00148%). But the chances of getting the same legendary twice are only 1/260 (~0.38%), because the first one doesn't matter, you just need to get the same one the 2nd time.
So I did count right. I was multiplying 256 and 264 by themselves by hand as well. (I love to do stuff like that.) Thanks again. Before you ask, I often calculate whether I have lethal, or in this case, my opponent, in less than three seconds. I also hate ropers.
Rollback Post to RevisionRollBack
162 ladder wins with Renouncelock and counting! Reno, Zoo, Cube, Even; they all run Renounce Darkness in my lists!
To post a comment, please login or register a new account.
I was playing my Reno Renouncelock at Rank 10, and against a Handbuff Paladin with over 30 damage on board, I had a green Reno Jackson after using Renounce Darkness, not that it would save me even if it was yellow. Now, I was at 9 mana, topdecked Fireworks Tech, used it on my Weaponized Pinata, and got Cenarius, which, of course, I needed another mana to use, and again, it wouldn't save me. Then I traded in the Pinata and Cenarius comes out again. I know someone will say I had more of a chance of getting the same legendary twice than actually winning that match, because I know both are nearly zero, but can someone please give me some serious odds of this happening in Wild?
162 ladder wins with Renouncelock and counting! Reno, Zoo, Cube, Even; they all run Renounce Darkness in my lists!
one divided by the total amount of legendaries in wild squared.
Thank you! I knew there was a formula for that sort of thing, but I was coming up blank on it. If I counted the rows in the database right, it's 1 in 67,600. 25 rows of 4 on 2 pages, then 15 rows of 4 on the third, right? I'll recalculate if I'm wrong. (EDIT: I want to say that I only used the calculator to square 260.)
162 ladder wins with Renouncelock and counting! Reno, Zoo, Cube, Even; they all run Renounce Darkness in my lists!
Weaponized Pinata can only add legendary minions to your hand, so we can't count hero cards, spells and weapons. I counted 260 collectible legendary minions in the game (https://www.hearthpwn.com/cards?display=3&filter-premium=1&filter-rarity=32&filter-type=4&page=3). That means the chances of getting exactly Cenarius twice are 1 in 260^2 (1 in 67600, roughly 0.00148%). But the chances of getting the same legendary twice are only 1/260 (~0.38%), because the first one doesn't matter, you just need to get the same one the 2nd time.
So I did count right. I was multiplying 256 and 264 by themselves by hand as well. (I love to do stuff like that.) Thanks again. Before you ask, I often calculate whether I have lethal, or in this case, my opponent, in less than three seconds. I also hate ropers.
162 ladder wins with Renouncelock and counting! Reno, Zoo, Cube, Even; they all run Renounce Darkness in my lists!