If you mulligan all three cards, you're effectively looking for 2 cards out of 30 in seven draws. The probability that you won't get an undertaker in seven draws is:
So if you mulligan everything, you only have a 31.8% of getting an undertaker in your initial draw. If you mulligan less, you have even a smaller chance.
Why are there 7 draws? Isn't initial draw just 4 or 5? And this is one part of probability I don't understand. I get the 28/30, it's the odds against me. Why do you multiply the against odds with each other?
The three you are originally dealt. The three replacements you get when you mulligan them all. And the one card you draw when your turn actually begins.
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If there were no luck we'd be playing chess - the best player would always win and people would stop playing.
that's why i said "we need just a bit of more control, like seeing 4 cards and no draw rather than 3 + draw1 in staring hand".
Why balancing the game nerfing strong cards rather than boosting crap cards into playable ones?
Why are there 7 draws? Isn't initial draw just 4 or 5? And this is one part of probability I don't understand. I get the 28/30, it's the odds against me. Why do you multiply the against odds with each other?
The three you are originally dealt. The three replacements you get when you mulligan them all. And the one card you draw when your turn actually begins.