I thought about this a while back - but Paladin has 10 5+ mana spells. Without doing the math, I think your odds of discovering Kangor's aren't actually that great, slightly less than 1/3?
Id say its 1- (9/10*8/9*7/8) = 30%.
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Id say its 1- (9/10*8/9*7/8) = 30%.