Hearthpwn

We have this post in the official forums.

90% chance for a rare
20% chance for an epic
5% chance for a legendary

Or...
1:5 packs will probably contain an epic
1:20 packs will probably contain a legendary

2% Chance of Golden Common (1 Every 50 Cards)
1% Chance of Golden Rare - 1% (1 Every 100 Cards)
0.25% Chance Golden Epic (1 Every 400 Cards)
0.05% Golden Legendary (1 Every 2000 Cards)

Ok, Noxious opened 125 packs = 125 * 5 cards = 625 cards     (40 packs + 80 packs + 2 packs + 3 packs)

It went likes this:

448 common, 5 Golden common, 131 rare, 7 Golden Rare, 26 Epic, 2 Golden Epic, 6 Legendary

So:

- 1 Rare each 0,9 packs                (being 1 Golden each 17,85 packs)

- 1 Epic each 4,46 packs               (being 1 Golden each 62,5 packs)

- 1 Legendary each 20,83 packs   (no Golden)

Erskow, you're the man.

 

The maximum streak of normal packs were of 5 packs in a row.

The feeling i have is that they have made a very great job on this. You don't feel frustrated while opening the packs and you always want to open more of them.

 

Details from the openings are below:

COMMON

- 1 pack with         1 Golden common + 4 common 

 RARE

- 71 packs with    1 rare + 4 common

- 5 packs with       1 Rare + 1 Golden common + 3 common

- 1 pack with        1 Rare + 2 Golden common + 2 common

- 4 packs with      1 Rare + 1 Golden Rare + 3 common

- 9 packs with      2 Rares + 3 common

- 1 pack with         2 Rare + 1 Golden common + 2 common

- 1 pack with        3 Rares + 2 common

- 1 pack with         2 Rare + 1 Golden Rare + 2 common

EPIC

- 2 packs with       1 Epic + 4 common

- 17 packs with     1 Epic + 1 Rare + 3 common

- 1 pack with         1 Epic + 2 Rare + 2 common

- 1 pack with         2 Epic + 1 Rare + 2 common

- 1 pack with         1 Epic + 1 Golden Rare + 3 common

- 1 pack with         1 Golden Epic + 4 common

- 1 pack with          1 Golden Epic + 1 Rare + 3 common

- 2 packs with        2 Epic + 3 common

LEGENDARY

- 4 packs with      1 Legendary + 1 Rare + 3 common

- 1 pack with        1 Legendary + 4 common

- 1 pack with        1 Legendary + 1 Golden Rare + 3 common

 

Quote from Erskow

* An average of 1 random rare + 1 crafted rare per pack
* An average of 1 random epic + 2 crafted epics per 5 packs
* An average of 1 random legendary + 3 crafted legendaries per 21 packs

Not sure what values you used for the real money. Is it the cost of a regular TCG pack or did I miss some gold conversion blue post?

Well, people are saying that a pack will be $ 1, and if it costs 100 gold, then $ 1 = 100 gold.

There is 40 Legendaries right now? Then if it goes like this, you will need $ 210 for all of them? Seems good to me.

It does not necessary mean that the average values have changed (it neither means that the weren't changed). The gold values for each game might have been balanced to give enough for a pack after 8 games with a 50% win ratio.

Then you think we will get 25 gold for victory.

In Arena, as you pay a fee to get in, you should get more than that, right?

For 50% win in Arena, you would need 6 wins. It is said that you would recover your money (300 gold or $3) with the 8th key (7 wins).

Should you not get more reward than just getting your money back for that?

Take a look at this post and gimme something. lol

Nice job, Erskow.

Quote from Erskow

* 1 rare per average 5 cards = An average of 1 rare per pack
* 1 epic per average 25 cards = An average of 1 epic per 5 packs
* 1 legendary per average 105 cards = An average of 1 legendary per 21 packs

 

So, if we are in the right way with this, to craft a Legendary that we want, we will need to spend around 84 dollars (4 * 21).

To craft an Epic, 20 dollars (4 * 5).

No one wants to try to connect the chances to the costs of creating the cards by arcane dust?

Which will be the chances of getting a Legendary card?

And Epic, Rare and common?

 

UPDATED:

good post on official forums: here

 - 1 Rare each                    0,85 to 0,90 packs           

- 1 Epic each                     +- 5 packs                        

- 1 Legendary each           +- 20 packs                      

Golden: 

2% Chance of Golden Common (1 Every 50 Cards)
1% Chance of Golden Rare - 1% (1 Every 100 Cards)
0.25% Chance Golden Epic (1 Every 400 Cards)
0.05% Golden Legendary (1 Every 2000 Cards)