Hearthpwn

[deck]Deck ID or Code[/deck]

Quote from KingOfKings >>

I don’t think that Blizzard is actually rigging the match making system. However, I’ve never seen an analysis that attempted to prove that they aren’t. Scrutiny like that is necessary to keep businesses that profit from games of chance honest. The opportunity to rig the game exists, and only independent statistical audit can confirm that isn’t happening. To my knowledge, casinos in the United States have to submit to far more regulation than game companies like Blizzard, even though the Computer gaming industry is far more profitable on the whole. 

I think it’s incumbent on organizations that gather Hearthstone data, like Vicious Syndicate and HSReplay, to study this question frequently, no tinfoil hat required.

No. The burden of proof lies with people who claim Blizzard is not telling the truth or is hiding information. If no rigging is proved, it is a very solid proof no rigging takes place.

Extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence.

I have said this before, but the community was actually able to prove there was a pity timer for legendaries, and it was later confirmed by Blizzard. It is not impossible to do.

Quote from abupaco >>

hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha.

really bro?

the curve?

i mean, really?

SlydE look very closely and try to think this time what we are talking about and how relates with the new attachment

....frankly i'm really excited about next reply

Come on, man, you can do better. I think we all know they have a way to code their decks, but that does not change the fact the number of decks played on deck on the ladder is enormous and the number possible decks is astronomical. Through rapidly changing metas, they need a formula to determine the likely outcome to punish YOUR deck. They are not even able to code Zephyrs to accurately find the best play.

A better strategy for you: They use core cards (rapidly updated to accurately reflect the meta ofc) to calculate your archetype similar to HSreplay, and then match you with and archetype you have a bad winrate against when YOU are behaving badly.

But why would they? It is a complete waste of resources on a very complex operation that will increase queue time and computing power needed for matchmaking for no reason.

You have to face it, you are just a simple number for the matchmaking bot. Some times you get lucky, some times you don't, but over 100s of games it all evens out, which is why nobody has dug up any statistically relevant evidence for any of these theories yet. The material is there, hsraplay has millions of games recorded, go out there and prove the game is rigged against YOU.

Yes, of course. Your curve will very accurately determine both your archetype, how you teched it and what counters it. It is the best way for Blizzard to make sure they punish YOU when you behave BADLY by playing their game in wrong ways.

Quote from Hooghout >>

Quote from SlydE >>

The matchmaking does not know which deck you queue up with.

How do you know that? Been at Blizzards design team and mechanics and have insiders knowledge? You saw with your own eyes the inner workings of the matchmaking?  I seriously doubt that. Blizzard has reasons enough to exactly know which decks ae queued. 

Oh, sorry, I am wrong. They run their matchmaking through a database of 1000s of decks and variations (probably with a specific look on tech cards) to make sure that YOU are getting the matchup YOU deserve at the moment. Before a new release, they have worked all the new metadecks out, and will sure you get countered if you behave badly, even before the players know what the counters are.

Or, maybe they just try to make you find a good MMR matchup ASAP...

About the 50% winrate, yes, that is exactly the point of MMR based matchmaking. You don't need to handpick decks for that, you just need to face better/worse players. As all players are not equal, the very top and very bottom of the MMR ladder will have scewed winrates, but the system will always try to send you to 50% by changing your MMR up and down.

This again?

Nobody has ever come up with anything but anecdotal evidence that the game chooses counterdecks for you if you are on a winstreak.

The matchmaking does not know which deck you queue up with.

If you are on a winstreak with a good deck, the most probably way that winstreak will end (being at 4 or 10 games) is a counterdeck.

At specific times of the day at specific MMR ranks, mini-metas occur. Choosing a deck which has a good winrate against the current field is an important skill playing the ladder, especially at high legend. Just don't expect any magic, you can get unlucky with any deck.