Not a bug. Could be bad math. The most likely scenario is just rng. Bad luck mate, or good depending on the perspective. Hopefully the games go more in your favor next time.
Assuming zero extra draw it's on average 7.5/30 = 25% chance to get him on turn 4. The chance of that happening in 18/21 games is significantly less than one in a million.
Assuming a full mulligan it's 11/30 = 37% chance to get him, for about a 6 in a million chance.
Assuming zero extra draw it's on average 7.5/30 = 25% chance to get him on turn 4. The chance of that happening in 18/21 games is significantly less than one in a million.
Assuming a full mulligan it's 11/30 = 37% chance to get him, for about a 6 in a million chance.
Assuming zero extra draw it's on average 7.5/30 = 25% chance to get him on turn 4. The chance of that happening in 18/21 games is significantly less than one in a million.
Assuming a full mulligan it's 11/30 = 37% chance to get him, for about a 6 in a million chance.
game is rigged, no matter what the shills say.
It's more likely to be glitched than rigged. No real incentive to rig to benefit a fairly inexpensive demon hunter deck.
Assuming zero extra draw it's on average 7.5/30 = 25% chance to get him on turn 4. The chance of that happening in 18/21 games is significantly less than one in a million.
Assuming a full mulligan it's 11/30 = 37% chance to get him, for about a 6 in a million chance.
And this is where we go wrong. It's Demon Hunter, the class with the most card draw seen in any class. When you don't get Drek'thar a full mulligan is likely to happen and extra draw is a given.
18 our of 21 games is still a lot, but even x out of a million chances just happen. None of the DH's I faced last night had a Drek'thar that early. To call it rigged, we need more statstics from more players. Right now simply not enough evidence to reach any conclusion. Play at least 100 games and then report back here.
Assuming zero extra draw it's on average 7.5/30 = 25% chance to get him on turn 4. The chance of that happening in 18/21 games is significantly less than one in a million.
Assuming a full mulligan it's 11/30 = 37% chance to get him, for about a 6 in a million chance.
But in reality it should be less than that. There are 6 card that draw, 2 of which can draw 2 cards (Sprectral Sight).
So there's a 10/30 = 33% chance to get one of those draw by turn 3, for an additional 1.x cards (to be complete you should calculate the odds of Sprectral being outcasted, so it should be slightly higher than 1).
Not sure what the exact probabilities are, but taking those draw into account, it should be closer to 50%. Though, even taking that number, the chances of at least 18/21 Drekthars is around 0.07%.
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In my recorded games against demon hunter they had turn 4 Drek'Thar in 18 of 21 matches, I guess the math is wrong or it's a bug or something?
Not a bug. Could be bad math. The most likely scenario is just rng. Bad luck mate, or good depending on the perspective. Hopefully the games go more in your favor next time.
Assuming zero extra draw it's on average 7.5/30 = 25% chance to get him on turn 4. The chance of that happening in 18/21 games is significantly less than one in a million.
Assuming a full mulligan it's 11/30 = 37% chance to get him, for about a 6 in a million chance.
game is rigged, no matter what the shills say.
It's more likely to be glitched than rigged. No real incentive to rig to benefit a fairly inexpensive demon hunter deck.
And this is where we go wrong. It's Demon Hunter, the class with the most card draw seen in any class. When you don't get Drek'thar a full mulligan is likely to happen and extra draw is a given.
18 our of 21 games is still a lot, but even x out of a million chances just happen. None of the DH's I faced last night had a Drek'thar that early. To call it rigged, we need more statstics from more players. Right now simply not enough evidence to reach any conclusion. Play at least 100 games and then report back here.
Mule is 3-4 cards. Till turn 4 they get another 4 cards. They can draw 2 for 2 and 3 for 3 mana and 1 from a minion.
So this is a potential draw of 13-14 cards until turn 4. In avg they will draw roughly 10 cards before turn 4.
With the reroll of the mulligan I'd say the Chance is around 50% and that reflects my experience
Well, DH can deal 40 dmg in 5 turns without Drek'Thar, so actually you are lucky when he plays him turn 4.
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You lucky bastard, keep up the good work friend! ;)
But in reality it should be less than that. There are 6 card that draw, 2 of which can draw 2 cards (Sprectral Sight).
So there's a 10/30 = 33% chance to get one of those draw by turn 3, for an additional 1.x cards (to be complete you should calculate the odds of Sprectral being outcasted, so it should be slightly higher than 1).
Not sure what the exact probabilities are, but taking those draw into account, it should be closer to 50%. Though, even taking that number, the chances of at least 18/21 Drekthars is around 0.07%.