I've had much better luck than normal, though obv a very small sample, even if most of the higher rarity cards I've gotten either weren't very good or things I already had 2 of. Out of 8 packs I think I've gotten 1 legendary, 5 epics (1 of them golden), a golden rare and 3 or 4 golden commons
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"Sometimes you eat the bear, and sometimes the bear turns into a cat and eats you." - Anonymous Druid
Damn man, I don’t know, I’ve been gambling for some time now and I’m not winning every time, I’m pretty sure that casino is trying to screw me over somehow but I can’t pinpoint it.
#facepalm
You need to bet more now, everyone knows that if you have lost over and over, a win is headed your way. It's basic logic.
Yep, until you put a second mortgage on your house you’re not doing it properly.
They call it a 'home equity loan' these days, it's a savvy move.
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Free to try and find a game, dealing cards for sorrow, cards for pain.
I've gotten a few double rare packs and one (or two?) single epic packs. You have just been unlucky, which sucks, but stick with it and eventually your luck will turn around.
I think jeepers is a little tilted... I mean.. calling a 40 dust pack "Average"? 40 dust is the absolute worst you can do, which is far from average. infact, an average pack is around 100 dust.
Edit: What I'm saying is, Jeepers doesn't know the meaning of average, and is seemingly using the word incorrectly to defend blizzard.
The "100 Dust Average" is a myth that was caused and passed on by people who are bad with statistics.
Technically, the number is not "wrong". All the tests you can look up will prove you that the number is correct. However, the method does not make much sense for Hearthstone and the "average" value is greatly misleading.
To keep it simple and short (I actually wanted to open a new topic on this one of these days), Hearthstone pack values are greatly determined by so called "outliers", individual observations that are far removed from the normal spectrum and significantly influence "average" values. In Hearthstone, these "outliers" occur with some regularity, but how often and to what extent is still dependent on luck. When you open hundreds and thousands of packs, these outliers occur often enough to keep the number this high. Most players will open a lot less than a thousand packs and are thus a whole lot less likely to get an average value of 100.
To be more precise, if you want to get a 100 average value across 50 packs (which is more in line of what most people will open), you have to get about 4 or more packs with a value of more than 400, which means you need to get as many legendarys or golden epics. The average droprate for legendaries is about 5%, and I think even lower for golden epics. Generally, you can expect to open 2-3 400+ in 50 packs, which will result in an average dust value of around 90, sometimes less. In other words, you have to expect above-average results to get your "average" number of 100. When you open thousands of packs, you can expect to get lucky every now and then to even out the "unlucky" phases. More importantly, one single golden legendary greatly increases the average number, and can be as rare as 1 in 300.
Still, 90 is a lot more than 40, right? Actually, the median value of packs is 40. Pretty much exactly half of all your packs (a bit more, actually) will be 40 dust. While you can still say that you got "unlucky" when you got 40, it is not exactly odd or rare to open multiple 40 dust packs in a row, contrary to what some people believe.
These are the numbers I came up with after going through about 2000 packs. I admit, that's not a whole lot, but the results so far are solid enough that I feel comfortable making these claims. I do not expect that 2000 more packs will really change much, but when I feel like it, I will analyse another 2000.
From todays quest i got epic, 2 rares and 2 commons. Sometimes u are lucky and sometimes u just dont get shiat for 20 packs. Btw. isnt there pity timer set for every 10 packs for epic? Just asking out of curiosity.
I have the suspicion that Blizzard actually alters the chances of getting epics and legendaries whenever it wants; it would explain why they are not willingly giving away the probabilities like other games (Shadowverse) and why they added 20 packs to the pre-order and gave away ~20 packs for free. Btw Ive also gotten almost 40-dust packs recently.
My packs have felt like normal packs do. Got one or two epics so far, and a golden legendary.
I mean, you’ll get only a few packs from each of the expansions, so the pity timer means basically nothing here, so not getting epics or legendaries isn’t that odd really.
I've had much better luck than normal, though obv a very small sample, even if most of the higher rarity cards I've gotten either weren't very good or things I already had 2 of. Out of 8 packs I think I've gotten 1 legendary, 5 epics (1 of them golden), a golden rare and 3 or 4 golden commons
"Sometimes you eat the bear, and sometimes the bear turns into a cat and eats you." - Anonymous Druid
Free to try and find a game, dealing cards for sorrow, cards for pain.
My last 2 packs have both had legendaries
I've gotten a few double rare packs and one (or two?) single epic packs. You have just been unlucky, which sucks, but stick with it and eventually your luck will turn around.
Of my free packs, 3 had 1 epic, 1 had a double legendary (moorabi and Bolvar). It's called gambling for a reason OP, win some lose some.
If you thought you knew what you think I know, then you'd know I knew you knew I know.
a friend had 2 quests in 1 day, he got a KofT pack and an Un'goro pack, he got Keleseth and Tarim, but I didn't get more than a double epics pack
I got a golden Black Knight.
I got Rhok'delar from my packs. And 1 rare 4 common is the most likely thing that can happen, so you are just unlucky
If you only get 40 dust packs, 40 dust is in-fact average.
From todays quest i got epic, 2 rares and 2 commons. Sometimes u are lucky and sometimes u just dont get shiat for 20 packs. Btw. isnt there pity timer set for every 10 packs for epic? Just asking out of curiosity.
I got a runespear yesterday. And I think an epic as well, can't remember.
What a Joke.
Next event - Golden Legendary Guaranteed in your 1st pack of the day for a whole week!
Same ungrateful turds will still find something to complain about
Got a golden Pyros, just what I was missing for my Magelemental! So very happy with these free packs
At least pity timer ticks
1 Legendary and a few Epics.
I have the suspicion that Blizzard actually alters the chances of getting epics and legendaries whenever it wants; it would explain why they are not willingly giving away the probabilities like other games (Shadowverse) and why they added 20 packs to the pre-order and gave away ~20 packs for free. Btw Ive also gotten almost 40-dust packs recently.
Nice
My packs have felt like normal packs do. Got one or two epics so far, and a golden legendary.
I mean, you’ll get only a few packs from each of the expansions, so the pity timer means basically nothing here, so not getting epics or legendaries isn’t that odd really.
Got rogue legendary from KFT-pack.