For a 60% winrate, every three wins would come with two losses, so a net gain of one star would take five games (assuming no winstreaks). Thus the number of games would be equal to the number of stars needed times five. In this case, getting from rank 10 to legend would take 5*10*5=250 games, over which time you would go 150-100.
[EDIT] An easier way to do this: # of stars / (win% - loss%). For instance, from rank 5 to legend with a 57% winrate: 25/(.57-.43) = 25/(.14) = 178.57, so with a 57% winrate it would take about 180 games on average to get to legend. This, by the way, is why it's useless to say that anyone can get to legend if their winrate is over 50%; a 51% winrate player would take 1250 games on average to get from rank 5 to legend!
For a 60% winrate, every three wins would come with two losses, so a net gain of one star would take five games (assuming no winstreaks). Thus the number of games would be equal to the number of stars needed times five. In this case, getting from rank 10 to legend would take 5*10*5=250 games, over which time you would go 150-100.
I am trying to calculate how many games approximately it would take to get from rank 10 to legend with a 60% win rate.
I am not well versed in statistical math, does anyone know how to calculate this?
Assuming no win streaks, take number of stars required divided by 0.6.
For a 60% winrate, every three wins would come with two losses, so a net gain of one star would take five games (assuming no winstreaks). Thus the number of games would be equal to the number of stars needed times five. In this case, getting from rank 10 to legend would take 5*10*5=250 games, over which time you would go 150-100.
[EDIT] An easier way to do this: # of stars / (win% - loss%). For instance, from rank 5 to legend with a 57% winrate: 25/(.57-.43) = 25/(.14) = 178.57, so with a 57% winrate it would take about 180 games on average to get to legend. This, by the way, is why it's useless to say that anyone can get to legend if their winrate is over 50%; a 51% winrate player would take 1250 games on average to get from rank 5 to legend!
https://www.reddit.com/r/hearthstone/comments/2gkz9n/data_on_how_many_games_it_should_take_to_get_to/
Well, i hit legend today with 61% win rate 10-legend, took 171 games, 105/66