Hearthpwn

I was playing with a Ponylock/Malylock hybrid deck on ladder and queued up into a Kingsbane Rogue. A normal control lock insta loses to this deck anyway if you aren't running Gnomeferatu and I was running a heavy meme control lock. I played the game out and ripped Maly out of my deck due to my opponent's Deathlord, which gave me free burst for a turn. A few turns later and I was pushing gradual damage with a board of Dreadsteeds that Vanish could even remove 2 or so of them by adding them to my hand. I ended up winning a heavily unfavored match-up using a meme homebrew of slow control deck.

If you concede, you don't win.

I'm almost ready to throw the troll flag at this post, but I'll say what I've said on any number of previous occasions.

If you are convinced that you play perfectly more than . . . let's say 30% of your games and I'm being generous there, you are not only not playing perfectly, you are not aware or skilled enough to spot when someone is not playing perfectly.

I can count on one hand the number of games that lasted over 7 turns in which I'm certain I played "perfectly", and I rarely finish below 300 legend.  Across all games, I've been able to spot at least arguable mistakes in over 90% of replays.  If you really think you're not only better but THAT MUCH better than me, all I can say is good luck in your upcoming pro career.

That is the inherent flaw with the framework of this post.

I usually don´t concede on initial guessed odds, even if i know i loose 9 out of 10 matches against that archetype. If i see there is no way to win or maybe 1% chance but might need minutes to play it out then i concede.  Draw luck, misplay or clever moves can win a lot unexpectedly....

So let people their never give up mentality.

One reason why I won't concede when I see the matchup.

In addition to the above, players at most ranks (including many at legend) aren't so great at piloting their combo decks (see my example, this guy is playing against Baku Warrior and only has 2 Saronites in his pool). So these 5% matchups actually become 15-20% in some cases. Certainly they can make a lot of mistakes and still win these but if you play as optimally as possible and they screw up enough, you'll win occasionally.