For those interested. Here are the updated probabilities for the Battlegrounds.
This is the probability of finding one specific minion per Tier.
Tier 1
Tier 2
Tier 3
Tier 4
Tier 5
Tier 6
23.07%
14.93%
12.56%
9.88%
8.28%
7.21%
9.85%
8.26%
7.20%
6.12%
8.81%
7.39%
6.43%
5.46%
4.49%
10.01%
8.41%
7.32%
6.22%
5.12%
3.44%
And for getting 1 specific minion off of Triple Cards.
Tier Discover Card
Tier 1
----------------
Tier 2
18.75%
Tier 3
15.79%
Tier 4
18.75%
Tier 5
25.00%
Tier 6
37.50%
I take it that these are assuming that nobody has bought any minions yet and everything is equally available? If so, these can't really be applied during a real match and the odds are always changing based on the current pool of minions available.
I take it that these are assuming that nobody has bought any minions yet and everything is equally available? If so, these can't really be applied during a real match and the odds are always changing based on the current pool of minions available.
So if I am playing murlocs and I want to find Megasuar I only have a 3.44% chance of getting it every time i reroll? Damn that's depressing
That's why you get it from tier 6 discovery, it's over ten times more likely ;)
Also, what are you saying that bring back the amalgam? It has never left the battlegrounds! If you don't believe me, go check the tutorial match for battlegrounds, he is still there and you can buy it normally there! :D (Small Indie Company Warning: The game will crash if you do that, but hey, at least we still have amalgam lol)
Also Voidwalker is still in battlegrounds tutorial, even though he is removed from the game aswell. In fact it's even the current starting minion..
Updated probabilities for the new Dragon's update planned for today. Biggest item of note is the BIG changes to the triple DISCOVER card percentages. It is much harder to find tier 6 and to a lesser extent tier 5 minions.
This will make it less RNG based actually. It means there is less 100% high rolling like in the demons meta. There will still be high rolling, but that will be less likely now and will be much more decision based. So now you can't rely on just getting a triple on 5 to guarantee a Gentle Megasaur. You have to make more calculated risks on which direction your comps should go.
Just to add that might be useful - odds of one specific card hit from Malygos' HP by tier (assuming that it can't reroll into itself, and you're not doing a token):
T1: 1/13
T2: 1/16
T3: 1/16
T4: 1/14
T5: 1/16
T6: 1/10
Flatter than I expected, usually about 1/15ish. When you're T5 or 6, it's better than rerolling odds of one specific T5/T6, and it's free.
No, the last row is fine and completely what would be expected. However, these probabilities are old anyway and don't account for all the newest minions types and minion bans also.
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For those interested. Here are the updated probabilities for the Battlegrounds.
This is the probability of finding one specific minion per Tier.
And for getting 1 specific minion off of Triple Cards.
Bring back Nightmare Amalgam as a tier 3!!!!
I can't do that. These are just probabilities ;)
But I agree!
So if I am playing murlocs and I want to find Megasuar I only have a 3.44% chance of getting it every time i reroll? Damn that's depressing
I take it that these are assuming that nobody has bought any minions yet and everything is equally available? If so, these can't really be applied during a real match and the odds are always changing based on the current pool of minions available.
@live4vr, yes, that's correct.
Obviously, this is for general information.
That's why you get it from tier 6 discovery, it's over ten times more likely ;)
Also, what are you saying that bring back the amalgam? It has never left the battlegrounds! If you don't believe me, go check the tutorial match for battlegrounds, he is still there and you can buy it normally there! :D (Small Indie Company Warning: The game will crash if you do that, but hey, at least we still have amalgam lol)
Also Voidwalker is still in battlegrounds tutorial, even though he is removed from the game aswell. In fact it's even the current starting minion..
Updated probabilities for the new Dragon's update planned for today. Biggest item of note is the BIG changes to the triple DISCOVER card percentages. It is much harder to find tier 6 and to a lesser extent tier 5 minions.
So they are making BG more RNG-based. What a surprise.
This will make it less RNG based actually. It means there is less 100% high rolling like in the demons meta. There will still be high rolling, but that will be less likely now and will be much more decision based. So now you can't rely on just getting a triple on 5 to guarantee a Gentle Megasaur. You have to make more calculated risks on which direction your comps should go.
Bring Back Nightmare Amalgam!!!!!!!###
It's in Battlegrounds Tutorial game ;)
Just to add that might be useful - odds of one specific card hit from Malygos' HP by tier (assuming that it can't reroll into itself, and you're not doing a token):
T1: 1/13
T2: 1/16
T3: 1/16
T4: 1/14
T5: 1/16
T6: 1/10
Flatter than I expected, usually about 1/15ish. When you're T5 or 6, it's better than rerolling odds of one specific T5/T6, and it's free.
Shouldn't the last row be turned around?
No, the last row is fine and completely what would be expected. However, these probabilities are old anyway and don't account for all the newest minions types and minion bans also.