Hearthpwn

I'm assuming it will be a while after the new expansion before they release a new set of nerfs. They are very convinced that the cards will shake up the meta, so what is popular now might now be then.

If the probability of not getting one in a pack is 99.75% (as stated in the second reply), then the probability of getting one after opening X packs is P(X) = (1 - 0.9975^X). So for 3000 wins, you get 100 packs, you get a chance of about 22% of getting a golden legendary. Of course, in 3000 wins you'll have completed a bunch of dailies. But even at 300 packs, your chance of getting one is only 53%. At a thousand packs, the chance is about 92%. So yeah, they are pretty rare.

To get a better idea of how this works, I'd need to see some stats post on card packs, but I can't find a recently updated one.

Edit:

http://www.hearthpwn.com/forums/hearthstone-general/general-discussion/18543-drops-chances-rarity-by-11359-hearthstone-expert reports a chance of about 0.99445 to NOT get a golden legendary in a pack, so that is close to the number reported before.

Doing a simple simulation opening 500 packs 10^5 times, I get the resulting statistics

So the person below me, getting 6 out of ~500 packs, is pretty lucky with a chance of about 4% of that happening.

Thanks everyone! Those are enlightening replies. I was also leaning towards Grom, Alex and Sylv myself, the downside of which is that Alex (and Grom, of course, but he's needed) aren't really used outside of this deck. Ysera just seems like a whole lot of fun, but something to add at the end, not at the start. Cairne does fulfill roles in other decks, but as Malanon said, I personally think Sunwalker is better in the current meta. So I'm going to think about it for a little longer, and probably go with Grom, Alex and Sylv.

Good day,

Over the course of my hearthstone career, I've mainly played three classes: rogue, druid and hunter. For these classes I have all the cards that I could ever want. However, I've decided to expand my arsenal to a fourth class, and I'm thinking it might be warrior; the control variant. There is, of course, the issue of the steep amount of legendaries required. I do have a fairly decent set of legendaries already, and I have 4800 dust in the bank to make three more. With this thread, I'm trying to establish what you feel are (maybe in some sort of order) required legendaries for the control warrior.

The ones I already have (that I feel are relevant) are Baron Geddon, Ragnaros the Firelord, Harrison Jones and the Naxx legendaries, Loatheb and Kel'Thuzad.

The legendaries I feel I should additionally have are Sylvanas Windrunner, Cairne Bloodhoof, Grommash Hellscream, Alexstrasza and Ysera. Now clearly these are 5 cards, while I can only craft three of them. Well, four if I DE'd my golden Cenarius, but I don't feel like I want to do that.

So my question is, how many of these 5 do you feel I need to add to my collection, before I can start playing (with that I mean get to legendary, which I do with my other decks) control warrior? Is three of these simply not enough?

Other options are of course going for priest/shaman/paladin, in which case I wouldn't need 5 additional legendaries, but I feel like the control warrior playstyle might be a lot of fun.

Good day,

As most of you know, there's a ton of really great hearthstone related applications out there (but no central place to find them?), and I was wondering if anyone has started working on something that maps your card collection. Something that could show you how many cards you are still missing per class or something, the amount of rares, epics, legendaries, etcetera. Moreover, it could have a nice export option for the purposes of forums and such, for example to help out with deciding what legendary to go for.

Now, some initial googling came up empty, but I figured I might as well ask.

The title kind of gives it away; I'm currently having a lot of trouble at rank 3 facing control warrior and priests almost every match. They are obviously there to counter the hunter, but I personally played watcher druid and it doesn't seem to cut it. So I was wondering, what do you think is a weakness of control warrior, or priest? I feel as if control warrior is reliable against mostly anything, perhaps not zoo?

Only change I'd make is adding a Mukla to your opponents deck.

Quote from Elfimage »

Quote from pcsmokey36 »

not sure if anyone else has said this...but what if they gave leeroy, the cant be target'ed by spells or hero abilitys, like Faerie Dragon...would shut down some of the combos, and still be a good card i think...just a thought, 

That's actually the best idea I've seen so far. It's still a 6 damage fireball, but not affected by cold blood, power overwhelming, blessing of might, rockbitter, shadowstep or any other similar burst effect.

Give this man a cookie.

I would agree with this change, if they take away the two whelps. Make him a neutral fireball that is blocked by taunts. It would be a great card still, but not as crazy. Making him untargetable while summoning the whelps means you won't play him until the final turn, which means he'll clutter up your hand until the final turn without making too much of a difference. I wouldn't play him that way.

Quote from Nuba »

Usually the last week is the easiest to achieve legend rank, because whatever kind of competition there was has already hit legend, so you are less likely to face good players until you reach rank 1 or something

That does seem very sensible, but sadly the weekend is only 1 day this time. Sadly for the people that don't have much time during the week, that is

Stuck at rank 3, with hardly any time left this week. Not gonna happen I guess!

I make about 1-2 packs worth of gold every day, which I then spend. I don't go below 2k though, as I am very excited about Naxx as well.

I'm a little stuck as well, hovering around rank 2. I seem to really be playing 50/50 these last few days (although I don't play more than 10 games a day), which is getting me nowhere. There are a lot of matchups that can go either way.

I'm getting close too, rank 3 now playing pretty much the same deck, where I swapped the thalnos for a black knight. Druids are my worst match up, and removing that 5/10 can be oh so useful. I'm not sure about whether or not I'd rather play an assassinate though. Have you made any changes for the final ranks?

I think the Brawl really shines when you face, say, a ramp druid or a handlock that puts some heavy taunts down.

Quote from Koyen »

Results of another play session on EU ranks 2-3. Played 28 games with 68% win rate (w00t).

7 warlocks = 57% win rate (all giants)
5 hunters = 80% win rate (4 facerush, 1 kolento)
4 warriors = 100% win rate (all control)
4 rogue = 75% win rate (1 tempo, 1 Malygos, 2 miracle)
4 druids = 50% win rate (all token)
2 shamans = 100% win rate
1 mage = 0% win rate
1 priest = 0% win rate

Looks rather strange really. This deck isn't supposed to have 100% WR against warrior control and i find winning against token harder than against mirror ramp decks.

Anyone else notices that majority of warlocks moved from zoo to giants at higher ranks? If this is a trend, then Asyruan's idea to use second BGH gets really profitable...

Yes, I'm seeing ~80%+ handlocks compared to zoo. I'm having a lot less luck than you though, with around a 30% win rate against them. I'm also on EU, rank 6